he might turn john kerry, who is quite capable, into a manager in chief on the israeli/palestinian issue. >> jamie: let me focus on that. what is realistic, aaron? the palestinians want settlement building to stop. benjamin netanyahu says no. can we ever get them to the table with preconditions? >> no, not with preconditions. i think the president really dodged the one headache he created for himself in the first term, when was to demand a comprehensive settlement freeze, which no israeli prime minister would agree. to so i think you will not see a resumption of formal negotiations. you will see quiet contacts between the israelis and palestinians and a lot of frequent flyer miles for john kerry, having separate conversations with the israelis and the palestinians to see whether or not there is a basis for some sort ofay agreement. but in the end, let's face it, no one ever lost monobetting against arab/israeli peace. >> jamie: what is at stake if it doesn't happen? >> i think a lot. there are a lot of kinetic issues, sir why's imploding, which is very, very source. iran, centrifuges are